FOR ALL CANDIDATES LISTED ON AT LEAST ONE STATE BALLOT
Barack Obama (Democrat) 65,915,796 51.06%
Mitt Romney (Republican) 60,933,500 47.20%
Gary Johnson (Libertarian, Independent) 1,275,971 0.99%
Jill Stein (Green, Pacific Green, Mountain, Independent) 469,628 0.36%
Write-In (Miscellaneous) 136,040 0.11%
Virgil Goode (Constitution, Independent American, U.S. Taxpayers) 122,388 0.09%
Roseann Barr (Peace and Freedom) 67,326 0.05%
Ross C. “Rocky” Anderson (Justice, Progressive, Independent) 43,018 0.03%
Tom Hoefling (American Independent, America’s Party) 40,628 0.03%
Randall Terry (Independent) 13,105 0.01%
Richard Duncan (Independent) 12,557 0.01%
Peta Lindsay (Socialism and Liberation) 7,791 0.01%
None of These Candidates (Nevada) 5,770 0.00%
Chuck Baldwin (Reform) 5,017 0.00%
Will Christensen (Constitution) 4,453 0.00%
Stewart Alexander (Socialist) 4,405 0.00%
James Harris (Socialist Workers) 4,117 0.00%
Thomas Robert Stevens (Objectivist) 4,091 0.00%
Jim Carlson (Grassroots) 3,149 0.00%
Jill Reed (Unaffiliated) 2,875 0.00%
Merlin Miller (American Third Position, Independent) 2,701 0.00%
Sheila “Samm” Tittle (We the People) 2,572 0.00%
Gloria La Riva (Socialism and Liberation, Independent) 1,608 0.00%
Jerry White (Socialist Equality, Independent) 1,279 0.00%
Dean Morstad (Constitutional Government) 1,094 0.00%
Jerry Litzel (Independent) 1,027 0.00%
Barbara Dale Washer (Reform) 1,016 0.00%
Jeff Boss (NSA Did 911) 1,007 0.00%
Andre Barnett (Reform) 956 0.00%
Jack Fellure (Prohibition) 518 0.00%
Is This the Political Map of the Future?
Friday, November 14, 2014
If you’re a political junkie — or at least if you’re a conservative political junkie — you’ve probably seen the map. It’s a map of the United States showing the congressional districts won by Republicans in red and those won by Democrats in blue.
It looks almost entirely red, except for some pinpoints of blue in major metropolitan areas and a few blue blotches here and there — in Minnesota, Northern New Mexico and Arizona, Western New England, along the Pacific Coast.
Of course, it’s misleading. Congressional districts are of basically equal population, and Democrats tend to roll up big margins in densely populated areas. So while voters have elected at least 244 Republican congressmen and probably will end up with at least 247 — more than in any election since 1928 — the map overstates their dominance.
But it does tell us something about the geographic and cultural isolation of the core groups of the Democratic Party: gentry liberals and blacks.
These were the two groups gathered together when Barack Obama had the opportunity to draw the new lines of his state Senate district after the 2000 census. He combined the heavily black South Side of Chicago with Gold Coast gentry liberals north of the Loop.
Together, they provided him with an overwhelmingly Democratic voter base and with access to the upper financial and intellectual reaches of the Democratic Party — and, in short time, the presidency of the United States.
But blacks and gentry liberals by themselves are not a national majority, as the map suggests. And policies designed to appeal to the Obama Democratic base may be repelling other, larger segments of the electorate. Consider the racial groups surveyed by contemporary political analysts.
1. Black turnout was only slightly down from 2012 to 2014 (from 13 percent to 12 percent of the electorate), and blacks voted 89 percent Democratic. But blacks are not a growing segment of the population, and Democrats will never again win by the margin Obama enjoyed among blacks in 2008 — 91 points, or 12 points of the entire electorate.
Democrats tried to gin up black turnout with ads about the fatal shooting of black teenager by a white police officer in Ferguson, Missouri. But given the facts of the case that have come out so far, that may have hurt more than helped overall.
2. Hispanics represented 8 percent of voters in 2014 and 10 percent in 2012, and those percentages will rise. But they’re not unanimously Democratic. They voted 62 percent Democratic in House elections this year, but that figure was buoyed by the nearly 40 percent of Hispanics who voted in heavily Democratic California, New York and New Jersey. Hispanic Democratic percentages were significantly lower elsewhere, including Texas, Florida, Georgia, Kansas and Colorado.
Evidence suggests that gentry liberal causes — abortion absolutism, gun control and opposition to fracking — have been repelling rather than attracting Hispanics. Polls also show they’re more interested in jobs and education — and dissatisfied with Democrats’ performance — than in immigration, on which they are miffed at both parties.
3. Asians, 3 percent of the electorate, have been oscillating wildly in exit polls: 73 percent to 26 percent for Obama in 2012, 50 percent to 49 percent for House Republicans in 2014. These may be small and unrepresentative samples. But note that California Asians squelched an attempt by gentry liberals, Hispanics and blacks to overturn the state’s voter-imposed ban on racial preferences in higher education.
4. Whites are constantly told they’re headed to minority status, but they were still 72 percent of voters in 2012 and 75 percent in 2014 — and they’re increasingly Republican. They voted 59 percent for Mitt Romney, the highest for any Republican presidential candidate except in the 1972 and 1984 landslides, and 60 percent for House Republicans this year.
Analysts who separate Americans into two tidy categories — white and nonwhite — assume that the nonwhite category will grow and that whites can’t vote any more Republican than they have historically. Presto, a Democratic America.
The first assumption is well-founded. But Hispanics and Asians are not replicating blacks’ voting behavior, just as they haven’t shared their unique historic heritage. In some states, they’re voting more like whites than blacks.
The second assumption may not be true at all. History shows that self-conscious minorities tend to vote cohesively, as blacks have for 150 years and Southern whites did for 90. It’s an understandable response to feeling outnumbered and faced with an unappealing agenda.
In that case, Romney’s 59 percent or House Republicans’ 60 percent among whites may turn out to be more a floor than a ceiling.
And that map may become increasingly familiar.
Michael Barone, senior political analyst at the Washington Examiner, (www.washingtonexaminer.com), where this article first appeared, is a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, a Fox News Channel contributor and a co-author of The Almanac of American Politics.
To find out more about Michael Barone, and read features by other Creators writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate Web page at www.creators.com.
COPYRIGHT 2014 THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER
DISTRIBUTED BY CREATORS.COM
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Views expressed in this column are those of the author, not those of Rasmussen Reports. Comments about this content should be directed to the author or syndicate.
- The rich man ought not be taxed at all~~he ought be compelled to employ and train the poor man~~directly~~
~~In sunshine and in shadow~~I hold tight to the Republican view of time and money~~I write night and day~~yet~~while impecunious~~I am vastly overpaid~~in that taking pay to do what I love is unfair~~to my employer~~in a fair system~~under such circumstances~~I should pay him~~not he me~~I am far, far too old a man to be sexually confused~~praise Jesus~~but I am yet young enough to be politically confused~~is anyone not~~in an absolute sense~~I am a Catholic Royalist~~in a practical sense~~I am a Classical Liberal~~a Gaullist~~a Bonapartist~~an American Nationalist Republican~~in either sense~~my head is soon for the chopping block~~to hasten my interlude with Madame La Guillotine~~I write without fear~and without favor of~any man~~~~Finis Origine Pendet…The escape commences…~~September, 1957~~Saint Jane Frances de Chantal Catholic parochial school, called, by anyone of any background, simply: “Chan~al,” a place where, of an autumn day in 1957, school, for me, began and ended in the first convening of the first grade in which a tiny nun, one Sister Dom Bosco, appeared before me, just behind the window appearing at far left of this photograph, and piped out this: “I may be small, but so then, is the Atom Bomb.”~~My determination to escape school commenced immediately on hearing about this Atom Bomb business and took 16 dicey and arduous years to finally accomplish.~~~~Non SibiThe escape continues…~~September, 1966~~The Cathedral Latin School~~Finis Origine Pendet~~~Κύριε ἐλέησον~~
Rejoice and Glad!!
~The Original Angry Bird~~The Catholic University of America Screaming Red Cardinal Mascot~~
~~EX LIBRIS~~~~THEOS EK MĒCHANĒS~~
Friday, 21st November,~Anno Domini Nostri Iesu Christi, 2014 Website: http://johndanielbegg.wordpress.com
http://www.linkedin.com/profile/view?id=122865699&trk=hb_tab_pro_top "Jean-Marie Le Pen is a friend. He is dangerous for the political set because he's the only one who's sincere. He says out loud what many people think deep down, and what the politicians refrain from saying because they are either too demagogic or too chicken. Le Pen, with all his faults and qualities, is probably the only one who thinks about the interests of France before his own."~~ French actor~~Alain Delon
CONCEPT OF THE CATHOLIC AND ROYAL ARMY OF AMERICA (CRAA)
The Catholic University of AmericaSeal of The Catholic University of America
Motto~~Deus Lux Mea Est~~
The escape concludes…
The Catholic University Of America, Washington, District of Columbia.
1976, Anno Domini Nostri Iesu Christi.
Acta Est Fabula.
~~Our Ubiquitous Presence~~
Our Ruler now 63 years on~~
Simply the best President we could ever hope to have~~